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Northbound Coffee
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Findings
27 findings. The 9 priced as a saving or a gain: about $85,400–$127,900 a month.
Ask Steve about these
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This week
4
Deep dive
11
Steve's review
5
Steve's read
4
Tracking
2
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27
Filter
Finding
Worth a month
How sure
From
Waiting
On Meta, Android phones cost $33.65 an order as Meta counts it, against $21.95 on other devices, on $35,666 of spend. The ad "Price per cup" shows the same on Android.
$14,600–$20,900
Likely
Deep dive
—
Of the 631 orders that used the code CUP71, 6% were someone's first order, against 68% of other orders. The code is going mostly to people who already buy, much of it through Meta.
$15,100–$15,400
Firm
Deep dive
—
4 searches spent $5,695 in Search: coffee subscription over 28 days and brought no orders.
About $14,900
Firm
Checklist
Waits for you
On Meta, the Facebook Feed costs $31.17 an order as Meta counts it, against $22.49 in other placements, on $36,342 of spend.
$11,400–$17,500
Likely
Deep dive
—
58% of orders in British Columbia were refunded, against 3% in every other region. The networks claim 3.02 in sales per ad dollar there, but after refunds the store keeps 1.47.
$11,000–$11,400
Firm
Deep dive
—
From Oct 25 to Nov 7, store sales after refunds per ad dollar across the account is 1.87, up 14% from 1.64 over Sep 27 to Oct 24.
$39,100–$65,900
—
Deep dive
—
Northbound Coffee
Why we left the big roasters.
0:38
Founder story on Meta brings a ROAS of 0.5× over 14 days, against 2.6× for Meta's other ads.
$6,900–$36,300
Firm
Checklist
Waits for you
Northbound Coffee
Six a.m. tastes better now.
0:15
Morning pour on Meta
About $6,700
Firm
This week
Waits for you
TikTok claims 1,790 orders over 28 days, and your store saw 1,103 of them.
About $27,300
Firm
This week
—
From Oct 25 to Nov 7, each ad dollar on Meta sent to the home page brings 1.60 in store sales after refunds, down 15% from 1.88 over Sep 27 to Oct 24.
$15,900–$21,400
Likely
Deep dive
—
2 searches brought 471 orders in Search: coffee subscription and are not keywords yet, led by "fresh roasted coffee delivery".
About $2,900
Firm
This week
—
On Meta, an order costs $15.36 from Instagram Reels and $184.05 from Audience Network, the same gap in all 3 campaigns there.
About $1,900
Firm
This week
Waits for you
From Oct 25 to Nov 7, an order in "New customers" costs $41.87 as the network counts it, up 8% from $38.73 over Sep 27 to Oct 24.
$5,500–$7,500
Likely
Deep dive
—
Phones struggle to buy on the subscription page
$767–$3,100
Fairly sure
Site
—
23% of TikTok's 1,723 orders included Single origin, 340 g, against 0.4% of other orders in the same campaigns, and it hardly sells on Meta or Google. The ad "Barista at home" shows the same.
Not priced
Firm
Deep dive
—
34% of the 238 orders from searches for "northbound coffee" first came through Meta, against 1% of other orders on the same network. People find you on Meta and come back later by searching your name.
Not priced
Firm
Deep dive
—
91% of the 1,424 orders from the ad "Price per cup" used a code, against 9% from other ads. After the codes the store still keeps 2.86 per ad dollar from it, against the 3.21 Meta claims.
Not priced
Firm
Deep dive
—
On Meta, people aged 25 to 64 cost $22.92 an order as Meta counts it, against $50.70 at other ages, on $89,055 of spend. That is Meta's own count of orders, not the store's.
Not priced
Firm
Deep dive
—
"Product page view" is primary, so Google bids on it as if it were a sale and counts it in conversions.
Not priced
Firm
Checklist
—
Get the gift subscription page ready for holiday searches
27–246 clicks
Leaning
Site
—
Give cold brew readers a way to the coffee
Not priced
Not sure
Site
—
The pour-over guide slipped in Google
129–257 clicks
Leaning
Site
—
Win more of the coffee subscription searches
466–2,314 clicks
Leaning
Site
—
Holiday gift box — worth running on Meta, not yet on TikTok.
Not priced
—
Steve's read
—
New customers — your main source of first-time buyers, held back by one weak ad and an expensive network.
Not priced
—
Steve's read
—
Search: coffee subscription — the most dependable campaign you have.
Not priced
—
Steve's read
—
Win back past buyers — cheap orders, but almost all from customers you already have.
Not priced
—
Steve's read
—
On Meta, Android phones cost $33.65 an order as Meta counts it, against $21.95 on other devices, on $35,666 of spend. The ad "Price per cup" shows the same on Android.
$14,600–$20,900
Likely, Deep dive
Of the 631 orders that used the code CUP71, 6% were someone's first order, against 68% of other orders. The code is going mostly to people who already buy, much of it through Meta.
$15,100–$15,400
Firm, Deep dive
4 searches spent $5,695 in Search: coffee subscription over 28 days and brought no orders.
About $14,900
Firm, Checklist, A decision waits
On Meta, the Facebook Feed costs $31.17 an order as Meta counts it, against $22.49 in other placements, on $36,342 of spend.
$11,400–$17,500
Likely, Deep dive
58% of orders in British Columbia were refunded, against 3% in every other region. The networks claim 3.02 in sales per ad dollar there, but after refunds the store keeps 1.47.
$11,000–$11,400
Firm, Deep dive
From Oct 25 to Nov 7, store sales after refunds per ad dollar across the account is 1.87, up 14% from 1.64 over Sep 27 to Oct 24.
$39,100–$65,900
Deep dive
Founder story on Meta brings a ROAS of 0.5× over 14 days, against 2.6× for Meta's other ads.
$6,900–$36,300
Firm, Checklist, A decision waits
Morning pour on Meta
About $6,700
Firm, This week, A decision waits
TikTok claims 1,790 orders over 28 days, and your store saw 1,103 of them.
About $27,300
Firm, This week
From Oct 25 to Nov 7, each ad dollar on Meta sent to the home page brings 1.60 in store sales after refunds, down 15% from 1.88 over Sep 27 to Oct 24.
$15,900–$21,400
Likely, Deep dive
2 searches brought 471 orders in Search: coffee subscription and are not keywords yet, led by "fresh roasted coffee delivery".
About $2,900
Firm, This week
On Meta, an order costs $15.36 from Instagram Reels and $184.05 from Audience Network, the same gap in all 3 campaigns there.
About $1,900
Firm, This week, A decision waits
From Oct 25 to Nov 7, an order in "New customers" costs $41.87 as the network counts it, up 8% from $38.73 over Sep 27 to Oct 24.
$5,500–$7,500
Likely, Deep dive
Phones struggle to buy on the subscription page
$767–$3,100
Fairly sure, Site
23% of TikTok's 1,723 orders included Single origin, 340 g, against 0.4% of other orders in the same campaigns, and it hardly sells on Meta or Google. The ad "Barista at home" shows the same.
Not priced
Firm, Deep dive
34% of the 238 orders from searches for "northbound coffee" first came through Meta, against 1% of other orders on the same network. People find you on Meta and come back later by searching your name.
Not priced
Firm, Deep dive
91% of the 1,424 orders from the ad "Price per cup" used a code, against 9% from other ads. After the codes the store still keeps 2.86 per ad dollar from it, against the 3.21 Meta claims.
Not priced
Firm, Deep dive
On Meta, people aged 25 to 64 cost $22.92 an order as Meta counts it, against $50.70 at other ages, on $89,055 of spend. That is Meta's own count of orders, not the store's.
Not priced
Firm, Deep dive
"Product page view" is primary, so Google bids on it as if it were a sale and counts it in conversions.
Not priced
Firm, Checklist
Get the gift subscription page ready for holiday searches
27–246 clicks
Leaning, Site
Give cold brew readers a way to the coffee
Not priced
Not sure, Site
The pour-over guide slipped in Google
129–257 clicks
Leaning, Site
Win more of the coffee subscription searches
466–2,314 clicks
Leaning, Site
Holiday gift box — worth running on Meta, not yet on TikTok.
Not priced
Steve's read
New customers — your main source of first-time buyers, held back by one weak ad and an expensive network.
Not priced
Steve's read
Search: coffee subscription — the most dependable campaign you have.
Not priced
Steve's read
Win back past buyers — cheap orders, but almost all from customers you already have.
Not priced
Steve's read